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Super Bantamweight · Main Card

David Picasso vs Carl Martin prediction

Canelo vs. Mbilli: Mexico vs. The World · Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 18:30* · Kingdom Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia · 10 rounds

David Picasso33-1-1 · Mexico
VS
Carl Martin28-0-0 · Philippines

Our prediction our estimate – not API data

David Picasso to win

Picasso 50%
50% Martin

Confidence: Toss-up

Our model makes David Picasso the narrowest of favourites with an estimated 50% chance of winning. The edge comes mainly from experience. Carl Martin scores better on record. KO data is missing for at least one fighter, so we do not call a method of victory.

Built only from the API records and rankings below. It can't see age, activity, injuries, styles or weight-cut issues. How we predict.

Tale of the tape

David PicassoCarl Martin
33-1-1Record (W-L-D)28-0-0
35Pro bouts28
—KO wins20 (77%)
199Rounds boxed—
MexicoNationalityPhilippines
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
2000Born (year)1999
2017Debut2016
—Sanctioning bodies (Super Bantamweight)—

API data · fighter profiles & rankings · cached . “—” = not provided by the API.

Recent form

David Picasso

No recent fights in our stored data yet. Our data plan only returns fights from about the last week, so form builds up over time. Career record: 33-1-1.

Carl Martin

No recent fights in our stored data yet. Our data plan only returns fights from about the last week, so form builds up over time. Career record: 28-0-0.

Head-to-head

We have no previous meeting between David Picasso and Carl Martin in our stored data.

How the numbers add up

Factor (our model)PicassoMartin
Record (smoothed win rate)+0.82+0.88
Experience (pro bouts)+1.08+1.01
Title / ranking status+0.00+0.00
Total1.901.89

Win chance = logistic(1.3 × points difference), capped at 25–75%.